Theoretically, Ukraine could win militarily in Donbass, but the price of such a victory would be too high.
It was said by an unnamed deputy commander of the LDPR army, who was merely described as one of those who ‘have the experience of Soviet and Russian military schools and academies and, after disarmament of the militias, entered the First and Second Army Corps of the LDPR Army, signed contracts and are now the official military of these unrecognized state formations’.
The commander does not exclude that the AFU can go on the offensive.
‘The Ukrainian army is really quite different now. But the citizens (and most politicians too) do not realize at what price it will be achieved. After all, on this side of the border the military construction was very serious, too. They can not even imagine the extent of losses. The dead will be counted in more than hundreds or even thousands. Because they have reached an enormous density of troops, compared with the summer of 2015. The AFU group of a hundred thousands will operate under the conditions of firepower with enormous potential. And we now have at least as much ammunition as the AFU,’ he said.
‘If the provision of the Ukrainian military reaches at most 60% in some units. I mean the artillery and MLRS. After all, the equipment should be inspected, with its storage life extended. They did not do it. Hence, the use of unusable munitions that do not detonate properly, deflect in the air much more than the norm, and so on. They were brought everything that remained in the Warsaw Pact arsenals, everything that could have been gathered in Bulgaria, Poland and Romania,’ explained the commander.
‘Despite this, I repeat, Ukraine has a chance to win. But this military success will be achieved by literally rivers of blood. Because it is practically impossible to create a group even in one direction without being noticed. Once they bring the artillery to military positions and begin to move, we will know it. And as soon as they bring the troops to the starting areas for the offensive, we will not wait anymore. Without details,’ concluded the officer.
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